Eastern Illinois
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 93.7951Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 15- 2 220 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 3-13 221 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 3-11 222 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 2- 9 306 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 11- 2 307 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 4- 2 307 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 2- 8 313 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 2-14 314 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 12- 7 315 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 25-14 421 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 11- 6 521 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 3- 2 522 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 3- 2 523 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 3- 4 524 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 6-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H Alabama 15- 2 13 -3 +++ 15.61
220 H Coastal Carolina 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.99
221 A Arkansas State 3-11 -8 -2 -- -5.60
222 A Arkansas State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.60
306 A Maryland 11- 2 9 -2 +++ 10.67
307 H Bellarmine 4- 2 2 3 -1.31
307 H Bellarmine 2- 8 -6 3 --- -9.31
313 A Memphis 2-14 -12 -1 --- -10.75
314 A Memphis 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.25
315 A Memphis 25-14 11 -1 +++ 12.25
421 H Butler 11- 6 5 3 + 2.40
521 H Southeast Missouri Sta 3- 2 1 1 0.17
522 A SIU Edwardsville 3- 2 1 2 -0.72
523 H Little Rock 3- 4 -1 1 -1.54
524 H Little Rock 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Coastal Carolina 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.99 307 H Bellarmine 2- 8 -6 3 --- -9.31 313 A Memphis 2-14 -12 -1 --- -10.75 221 A Arkansas State 3-11 -8 -2 -- -5.60 222 A Arkansas State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.60 524 H Little Rock 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Alabama 15- 2 13 -3 +++ 15.61 306 A Maryland 11- 2 9 -2 +++ 10.67 314 A Memphis 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.25 315 A Memphis 25-14 11 -1 +++ 12.25 421 H Butler 11- 6 5 3 + 2.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 15- 2 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 1.93 57.57
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 3-13 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 1.93 -4.91
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 3-11 -4.38 14.05 0.68 1.93 -3.57
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 2- 9 -4.38 14.05 0.68 1.93 -3.57
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 11- 2 -5.11 13.31 0.68 1.93 53.94
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 4- 2 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 1.93 34.74
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 2- 8 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 1.93 -9.08
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 2-14 -5.53 12.90 0.68 1.93 -4.68
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 12- 7 -5.53 12.90 0.68 1.93 52.34
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 25-14 -5.53 12.90 0.68 1.93 52.34
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 11- 6 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 1.93 37.47
3 H Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 3- 2 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 1.93 44.31
3 A SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 3- 2 -8.50 9.93 0.68 1.93 40.89
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 3- 4 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 1.93 -6.40
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 6-10 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 1.93 -6.40
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334.99
|
winning pts = 373.5945 losing points = -38.6071
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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